Thursday, November 28, 2019

Type B Lymphoma Essays - Body Ache, Jan Brady, Fading Glow

Victoria Herrera English Composition September 7, 2010 Laurie Clemems Sister The sunlight slowly crept in through the long narrow window and slowly inched its way to touch Mayra?s yellowish skin. It was the beginning of August but the summers heat was nowhere to be found in the cold hospital room that made my body ache for warmth. She looked tired as the sunlight caressed her fragile skin and highlighted her once strong facial features. Although the nurses told us she could not feel any pain, her swollen figure made me wonder. Mayra?s fading glow confirmed my uneasy feeling that her death was eminent. Her illness invaded her body quickly, never giving her a chance at survival. The unfortunate events during her illness were not only distressing, but also challenged my strength and my faith. I was on vacation, outside willingly baking under the sizzling hot sunlight when I received a disturbing phone call from my mother. ?Mayra?s sick, so we?re taking her to the emergency room,? she informed me. This answered my lingering question as to why Mayra had not been answering my phone calls or text messages. Mom asked me to come home as soon I could. The thought of cutting my vacation short made me so angry I felt my blood boil under my skin and steam through every pore on my body. Mayra. Mayra. Mayra. Its always about Mayra I thought and truly felt like Jan Brady. I told my mom I would only go home if anything major was going on, and to keep me posted on the ER visit. After all, Mayra was pretty melodramatic and she was in the middle of a long painful battle against Lupus. I was certain she was just experiencing a flare she couldn?t get under control. I assumed the doctor would just change one of her many medications or prescribe her some other drug that would make her all bet ter. Mayra was at the hospital all afternoon and well into the wee hours of the night. Finally after hours of waiting, the verdict was finally in; suspicious lesions had been discovered on her liver and spleen. Her doctor moved quickly and arranged a transfer to a hospital in Denver that was better equipped to provide the medical attention she needed. It was the beginning of the end. I returned to Burlington, made childcare arrangements for our children and began my journey to Denver. While I was driving a million thoughts raced through my head and every tear that rolled down my cheek carried all my fears and insecurities. When I arrived at the hospital I made my way through the labyrinth of halls until I finally reached the Intensive Care Unit on the sixth floor. I didn?t know what to expect as I inched my way toward her room. I peeked my head and greeted her with a, ?BOO!? I immediately noticed the yellowish tint of her skin and on the white part of her eyes as she invited me in. Her hair was up in a messy ponytail with loose strands of hair here and there. It appeared to me that her nurse had hooked her up to every piece of equipment she could find. The deep bruises were beginning to form under her skin; evidence to her recent encounter with IV needles and phlebotomist. She sat up in bed trying to talk between her rapid breathing. I crept my way toward her an d even though my Mom had warned me not to cry, I felt the tears building behind my eyelids threatening to break free every time I blinked. I sat next to her on a cold folding chair and held her feverish hand. I told her I couldn?t handle our mother by myself and she couldn?t leave me. I reminded her of a promise she had made years earlier when she had been diagnosed with lupus. I made her promise me that she would never die and that she would always be okay. She closed her eyes and nodded enlightened my the memory of that promise. ?I?m working on that and I?m gonna try my best,? she whispered softly as she gasped for air. The tears I was trying to hold back burned

Sunday, November 24, 2019

Sustainable Guest And Host Phenomenon In Hospitality Tourism Essays

Sustainable Guest And Host Phenomenon In Hospitality Tourism Essays Sustainable Guest And Host Phenomenon In Hospitality Tourism Essay Sustainable Guest And Host Phenomenon In Hospitality Tourism Essay for case Homer often speaks about cordial reception in his work ( OGorman A ; Brooks, 2007 ) . Furthermore, OGorman and Brooks ( 2007 ) explain a recent illustration of a literature publication ; the Harry Potter aggregation, where hospitality permeates all the seven books to the extent that it about goes unnoticed . The invitee and host relationship has elaborated on to the extremes of unconditional cordial reception ( Derrida, 2000 ) , where the host gives everything and requires nil in return. Furthermore, it has been argued by Tefler ( 2000 ) that there is no unconditioned cordial reception, and discussed the motive behind cordial reception. Ritzer ( 2007 ) portrays cordial reception to be losing hospitableness and inquiries what will go on to the industry if its chief thought of cordial reception would be lost. The purpose of this paper is to research the phenomenon of cordial reception further, concentrating peculiarly on detecting a fresh invitee and host relationship cons truct ; exemplifying the direct cordial reception relationship between H2O and the human freedom experience. Primarily it will explicate what both worlds and the H2O compound have to offer each other in the instance of hospitableness. Further, it will explicate why H2O can be related to the topic within the cordial reception industry. Main organic structure Is there such thing as cordial reception between the human existences and H2O? Indeed there is nevertheless it has non been referred to in the context of a cordial reception relationship. Numerous studies and articles have been published by the United Nations Development Programme concentrating on the Human Development Reports refering H2O and its cleanliness. Further, they are increasing worlds consciousness that water is a shared duty ( United Nations Development Programme, 2006 ) , therefore informing people to increase and better their cordial reception towards H2O. The United Nations Human Development Programme is invariably bring forthing and developing programmes in action and in composing to increase the consciousness of worlds about clean H2O and how of import it is to continue it. Data collected by frogmans during International Cleanup Day is reported in the Ocean Conservancy s Marine Debris Index showing informations collected and tallied by voluntaries worldwide. Underw ater information is besides used in a particular study on Marine litter by the United Nations Environment Program, called Marine Litter: A Global Challenge , ( Keo, 2009 ) . Human development is first and foremost about leting people to take a life that they value and enabling them to recognize their possible as human existences ( DerviAY , 2006 ) . Furthermore, the United Nations find it of import to emphasize and convey it to public attending that clean H2O is scarce and should be looked after every bit good as protected and treated with regard. Over the past old ages they have created ends over and over once more to distribute the consciousness to as many people as possible, for case the Millennium Development Goals ( Watkins, 2006 ) . In add-on, literature authors mention hapless sanitation as a discourtesy to the human right for clean H2O, Victor Hugo ( 1862 ) in his celebrated novel Les Miserables wrote, the cloaca is the scruples of the metropolis . Furthermore, to foregr ound the importance of the touchable being of H2O as a demand for life among all populating things in the universe, the United Nations Human Development Programme explains its scarceness and true value, dire warnings have been posted indicating to the glooming arithmetic of lifting population and worsening H2O handiness. Is the universe running out of H2O? ( DerviAY , 2006 ) , irrespective of the fact that the Human Development programme dressed ores extremely on the fact that H2O is non distributed every bit in the universe and that the 3rd universe states suffer more because of the hapless sanitation, this issue affects all the people around the Earth, due to their irresponsibleness and carelessness towards the critical compound. Viewed at a planetary degree, there is more than adequate H2O to travel about and run into all of humanity s demands. So why is H2O scarceness a job? Partially because H2O, like wealth, is unevenly distributed between and within states, ( Watkins, 200 6 ) , so does this mean that H2O is bit by bit going more of import that oil? To go on, many faiths, civilizations and folks acknowledge H2O as a critical constituent for the lives of every populating thing on this planet, By means of H2O , says the Koran, we give life to everything. That simple instruction captures a deeper wisdom. Peoples need H2O every bit certainly as they need O: without it life could non be, reported by DerviAY ( 2006 ) in the Human Development Report. Ancient Egypt, Greek mythology refers to H2O as the component of life. However, if viewed from a different position, it may be argued that H2O takes a terrible toll in people itself ; as a message from God to penalize the worlds for their irresponsibleness, the great inundation that merely saved the necessary life animate beings and people to go on the race, I am traveling to convey floodwaters on the Earth to destruct all life under the celestial spheres, every animal that has the breath of life in it. Everything on Earth will die , ( Bible, Genesis 6:17, 1984 ) . Additionally, more r ecent natural catastrophes affecting H2O may be related to which wiped out big figure of people. Examples would include Hurricane Katrina in New Orleans on August 23rd, 2005 and the Tsunami that struck the touristry country of Thailand on 26th December, 2004. This may be referred to as the natural compound: H2O taking its retaliation on worlds ( planetary heating? ) in order to learn them a lesson and do them understand how of import their relationship with one another is and that one can profit greatly from the other. Knowledge is power, ( Bacon, 1567 ) nevertheless, even though necessary information on how to contend H2O catastrophes is available and circulated by organisations such as the authorities and the United Nations ; there is still deficiency of cognition and power about why these inundations and H2O related catastrophes occur. Therefore, despite the fact that there is a huge sum of information on what are hospitality and its dealingss, it is yet still deficient to find its precise relation to certain features of people and things, such as H2O. Apnea is a interlingual rendition from Ancient Greek that means without take a breathing , it is therefore apparent that free-diving is an ancient construct of the cordial reception relationship between worlds and H2O that is being researched in this paper. The oldest archeological findings that confirm plunging are dated back to 7000 10000 B.C. At the seashore of Baltic Sea there was a colony called the shellfish feeders and are thought to be the first civilisation to free-dive , ( AIDA, 2007 ) . Hospitality gathers together a broad scope of things, when looking at the relationship of the worlds and H2O, infinite resemblance may be found with the ordinary apprehension of cordial reception, nevertheless in a more typical manner picturing the positive and negative facets of the industry. Free-diving offers a new alone experience to the human organic structure and head. Scuba-diving offers the invitees: humans the chances non merely to comprehend the universe they are sing but of fer the chance to convey something back: cognition and experience something novel: freedom and lightness. Furthermore, H2O provides an abundant supply of occupations for people willing every bit good as qualified to work straight or indirectly with H2O, water-people advertises and invariably recruits persons interested in such employment. Finally, worlds covering with water straight or indirectly do offer something in return ; saving and grasp of the underwater universe which covers most of this planet. Many people perceive themselves as invitees and act non merely responsibly but besides show respect by forming cleaning undertakings and under H2O consciousness plans. Last twelvemonth 390,881 voluntaries from 110 states participated in Project AWARE s International Cleanup Day. For the more than a decennary PAF has teamed up with PADI frogmans ( Professional Association of Dive Instructors ) and the Ocean Conservancy to form a planetary International Cleanup Day of the universe s oceans and shorelines , ( Keo, 2009 ) . PADI is non merely an organisation which receives big net incomes for supplying submerged amusement and preparation for interested persons but besides is extremely involved in supplying businesss and in continuing the environment they are utilizing to research, learn and work in. The mission statement ; project AWARE Foundation conserves submerged environments through instruction, protagonism and action ( undertaking AWARE, 1992 ) has been runing for many old ages as portion of PADI, and is now presently running as a exclusive non-profit organisation, working on educating people how to continue the submerged environment every bit good as invariably advancement and take action in following their mission statement. It is of import component of instruction harmonizing Wood ( 2000 ) aqualung drivers and snorkelers are damaging coral reefs through repeated inordinate contact, every bit good as the locals who remove the corals to sell it as tourer keepsakes in a despairing effort to get away the utmost poorness accentuated by the tourer trade. With reassurance that H2O is H2O and it is something we come across in our day-to-day lives as we know it ; intending that it is something we swim in, something we drink every bit good as it is something that falls from the sky. These significances and understanding are developed socially and experientially. Therefore, when looking at the United Nations Human Development studies about their H2O conserving programme it is easy to understand the importance of their concerns and actions. Due to the fact that the bulk of the people are brought up with the apprehensions that clean H2O is indispensable for their being. Furthermore, PADI is an organisation which offers the obvious to its clients and the outside populace, submerged saving and cleansing. The grounds they keep posting this information is to remind worlds about these issues and their significance ; therefore foregrounding the ways a invitee should move in relationship to the host. This attack explains that who we are and how we understand the universe and what it provides is how we understand ourselves, others and the universe. This is important, in order to demo that if a individual is non responsible and is brought up in a hapless environment they will non believe twice about the saving of the submerged universe and frailty versa. Additionally, this has a direct relationship to clean sanitation ; if 3rd universe states people have a deficiency of clean H2O they will non see continuing it, since they are in despairing demand of it. Therefore, the invitee and host relationship between H2O and the human experience with the compound is comparative to the upbringing, personal perceptual experiences and apprehension of the person. This may be reversed to demo H2O as the invitee in our human universe ; nevertheless it will non be accurate, due to the fact that H2O is what it is and can non be anything else. It a touchable compound which provides to the host itself as a acquisition environment, in order for the worlds ( hosts ) to larn on how to populate with it and how to accommodate to it. Water can non be anything else other than what it is, it has no witting as the human existences, and therefore it is difficult to presume that the compound can be a invitee. Decision or Hospitality and Water In decision, it may be said with certainty that H2O Acts of the Apostless as a host in this cordial reception relationship. Furthermore, the textual analysis show that H2O is a strongly generous compound that has plentifulness to offer to the worlds around the universe. Doctors use H2O to assistance people with back jobs, Marine life scientists use H2O for educational intents every bit good as do plunging partisans, to boot H2O offers employment and energy commissariats, such as electricity. Due to most of the planet being covered by H2O, fresh and salty, deep and shallow, the instruction that the compound provides is greater than we think. Legends have been created, such as the Loch Ness Monster, and legion fabulous fables about Poseidon have been written, even by the greatest author in our history, like Homer. Showing touristry dependant of H2O. A big figure of tourers has frequently had negative effects for the sustainable usage of the available resources, which in bend has had an consequence on the unity of the ecosystems. In the popular tourer s finishs in developing counties the local populations are already sing H2O shortages on a day-to-day footing. In the hereafter, if the expected addition in tourer Numberss occurs, the force per unit area on the aquifer will correspondingly addition. It could be average that the touristry in the most finishs becomes unsustainable, which could hold an inauspicious consequence on the national economic system and besides on the local population and environment. Water is a strong and critical compound which has direct influence over people s lives. Free diving and scuba diving may be considered unsafe and utmost out-of-door H2O athleticss, nevertheless, the primary thing that teachers of these subjects say, if moving harmonizing to the regulations and ordinances written in educational publications every bit good as if demoing regard towards the universe below sea degree and recognizing that you are merely a invitee who uses the chance to see and larn something distinctively original ; the H2O will open its doors and act as a sort host. However, it is indispensable to maintain in head that like animate being, H2O can be unpredictable and accidents may happen. Mother Nature is mature and unprompted, if a natural catastrophe work stoppages or something that can non be influenced happens, merely like within any other invitee and host relationship, things do non ever travel as planned and may non be smooth ; worlds have to understand that it is l ike holding an unpleasant repast experience in a eating house, it is non knowing and it may non of happened on intent. Bad things happen to good people and that is a fact to be taken into consideration, H2O should non be blamed, but it should instead be perceived as a warning that it is non a compound to play with or disrespect. The negative impacts of touristry development can bit by bit destruct the environmental resources on which it depends. On the other manus, touristry has the possible to make good effects on the environment by lending to environmental protection and preservation. Turning of worlds demand on the universe s handiness fresh water supplies go oning. In the effort to pull off H2O to run into human demands, the demands of fresh water species and ecosystems have mostly been abandoned, and the ecological effects have been ruinous. Healthy fresh water ecosystems provide a wealth of goods and services for civilisation, but our business of fresh water flows must be bett er managed to run intoing the demands of the present without compromising the ability of future coevalss to run into their demands Brundtland ( 1987 ) To sum up, H2O as a host in the cordial reception relationship teaches us to be patient and passionate every bit good as a generous and sort host. In add-on, due to its olympian beauty and power over the invitee it shows clemency every bit good as genuinely echt cordial reception qualities. However, it may non be called unconditioned cordial reception ( Derrida, 2000 ) , since in return H2O expects the worlds to handle it with expected regard and self-respect. Therefore, following Ritzer s ( 2007 ) sentiment that cordial reception is vanishing may be argued, since there is a echt invitee and host relationship ; as Tefler ( 2000 ) explains, a invitee expects something in return, even if it is intangible, which is the instance in this cordial reception relationship. Overall, H2O Acts of the Apostless as a lector demoing the professionals within the cordial reception industry how to better and be a better host, in order to do the experience a more positive 1. It does this by offering it s hoarded wealth and unexpected wow factors underwater every bit good as an unpredictable environment every clip ; invention and alteration is the manner frontward in doing the experience one of its sort and therefore more floating and satisfying.

Thursday, November 21, 2019

Financial Time series including ARCH-Garch models Research Paper

Financial Time series including ARCH-Garch models - Research Paper Example 'Financial Time series including ARCH-Garch models' forms the basis of financial and macroeconomics where model builders use stochastic processes to test and construct equations of economic variables. Time varying volatility and non-stationarity has largely contributed to the understanding and applicability of financial time series. Economic variables are referred as non-stationary when there is no tendency of being linear or constant and assume stochastic trends. Empirical research is often conducted in macroeconomics to estimate variable relationships and test hypothesis of the theories of macroeconomics. Empirical financial models are formulated based on cointergration concept that forms the basis of the major breakthrough in macro and financial economics. The aspect of volatility is important to financial economics such as the stock exchange and capital markets. Indeed, financial managers and analyst have repeatedly used the time series volatility model to forecast volatility and make relevant decision concerning future and current investments in the financial markets. Financial time series plays a big role in modeling and forecasting the financial operations of such corporations for countermeasures and avoidance of future financial crisis. The dynamics of corporate returns and stock prices can be effectively managed through application of financial time series and forecasting. Fluctuations of returns and the speculative prices in the stock markets are presented and modeled by time series volatility, which helps in decision making in investment. ... The dynamics of corporate returns and stock prices can be effectively managed through application of financial time series and forecasting. Fluctuations of returns and the speculative prices in the stock markets are presented and modeled by time series volatility, which helps in decision making in investment. Time series models such as the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity are used by financial analyst to determine the relationship between returns and risks levels in investments. Volatility of the sequence of the returns in money markets, foreign exchange markets, and stock markets are best described by the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model in financial time series. Advance usage of the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model is also used in the futures markets and by profession and executives in the stock markets to enforce counteractive measures to stabilize the markets. China stock market is a good example of a market that has successfully used the autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model to describe the market2 Arch Methodology This financial time series model is used to forecast random variables from information of past variable trends and linearity through specific universal assumptions on the conditional macroeconomic and financial economic variables. Forecast of variables depends on past information with regards to conditional and random variables assumption although conditional variance in conventional models does not depend on the random variables past information but on estimations and test. Econometric use of the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Model focuses on the limitations of forecasting in resultant prediction of the future that varies from one period to